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These Multifamily Markets Are Faring the Worst in Absorption

Mortgage rates reach their 2023 peak, CMBS Delinquency Rate Highest Since End of 2021 and more

The Average U.S. Home Is Selling Above Its Asking Price For the First Time in Nearly a Year link

  • Surpassing Expectations: For the first time since last August, the average sale-to-list price ratio has exceeded 100%. This means homes are selling above their asking price.

  • Inventory Crunch: New listings are down by 25% from a year ago, and the total number of homes for sale has decreased by 12%. This scarcity is driving up prices.

  • Buyer Demand Resilient: Despite high prices and low inventory, early-stage homebuyer demand is on the rise. Redfin's Homebuyer Demand Index is up 4% from a month earlier and near its highest level in over a year.

Mortgage rates reach their 2023 peak link

  • Rate Rumble: Mortgage rates have soared, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 6.81%, a significant increase from last week's 6.71% and a massive leap from last year's 5.30%.

  • Economic Echo: The rise is driven by a resilient economy, persistent inflation, and a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. The 10-year Treasury yield has crossed the 4.0% threshold, unseen since March this year.

  • Housing Hurdles: High rates and low inventory are pricing many potential homebuyers out of the market. However, the housing market remains resilient with buyers accepting mortgage rates in the new normal of 6% – 7% range.

Multifamily Developers Experiencing Construction Delays Spiked to 90% in Q2 link

  • Rising Tide: Persistent construction and permitting delays have led to a significant 90% spike in construction delays for multifamily developers in Q2.

  • Government Impact: Additional project requirements imposed by local governments are contributing to the slowdown in apartment development.

  • Labor Shortage: The survey reveals a concerning trend with 17% of respondents reporting construction labor to be less available than three months ago, a noticeable increase from 10% in March.

BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.8 million in May link

  • Dip in Opportunities: Job openings fell to 9.8 million in May, marking a decrease from the previous month.

  • Stable Hires and Separations: The number of hires and total separations remained relatively unchanged at 6.2 million and 5.9 million respectively.

  • Yearly Comparison: Job openings were down 14% year-over-year, with voluntary separations (quits) also seeing a 5% decrease.

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