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Weekly Housing Trends, List of millennial homebuyer hot spots

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Latest Rates

Loan Type

Rate

Daily Change

Wkly Change

52-Wk Low/High

30 Yr. Fixed

6.81%

-0.02%

-0.04%

6.61/8.03

15 Yr. Fixed

6.30%

-0.02%

-0.04%

5.95/7.35

30 Yr. FHA

6.28%

-0.01%

-0.01%

6.00/7.44

30 Yr. Jumbo

7.03%

-0.02%

-0.06%

6.90/8.09

7/6 SOFR ARM

6.59%

+0.00%

-0.21%

6.11/7.55

30 Yr. VA

6.30%

+0.00%

-0.03%

6.02/7.46

Real Estate Trends

Weekly Housing Trends Summary—Data for Week Ending July 13, 2024link

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  • The median listing price was unchanged year-over-year, marking the 25th consecutive week with price growth below 1%. While the price growth is minimal, homes are still more expensive per square foot than last year, indicating higher costs for buyers.

  • New listings increased by 8.8% compared to a year ago, reflecting a slight growth above the 2024 weekly average. However, the share of active listings that are new decreased, suggesting fewer choices overall compared to pre-2023 levels.

  • Active inventory grew by 35.8% from the previous year, continuing a 36-week trend of increasing for-sale homes. Despite this growth, the number of available homes is still more than 30% below pre-pandemic levels, indicating a tighter market.

Mortgage refinance demand jumps to a 2-year high, as interest rates dropLink

  • Applications to refinance a home loan jumped 15% last week compared with the previous week.

  • The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($766,550 or less) decreased to 6.87% from 7.00%

  • Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 3% for the week and were 14% lower than the same week one year ago.

How often does rent growth top 5%? Link

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  • Biden's proposal targets corporate landlords with 50+ units, capping annual rent increases at 5%. Landlords exceeding this cap risk losing valuable federal tax breaks, directly impacting their profitability.

  • At the start of 2019, about one-third of the largest cities had rent growth above 5%, surging in late 2021 and early 2022 when all major cities exceeded this threshold. Currently, rent growth has slowed, with only Madison, WI, experiencing more than 5% growth last month.

  • The policy's impact fluctuates with market conditions, affecting fewer cities during slow periods but potentially broadening during housing booms. This dynamic suggests the cap's effectiveness will vary significantly over time.

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Rent-to-Income Ratios Trend Down in Market-Rate Apartmentslink

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  • Nationwide rent-to-income ratios have dropped below 23%, indicating a slight improvement in affordability. This metric fell to 22.7% by June, reflecting a stabilization in rent growth.

  • Midwest cities like Detroit, Chicago, and Pittsburgh have some of the lowest rent-to-income ratios. In contrast, Riverside and San Diego in California report the highest ratios, suggesting significant regional disparities.

  • Average monthly incomes on leases reached nearly $8,800 in June, equating to over $105,000 annually. This figure accounts for total unit income, including dual-income households.

Location Specific

Raleigh, Nashville top list of millennial homebuyer hot spots: SmartAssetlink

  • Raleigh leads with 6.5% of millennials buying homes in 2022, having a median income of $123,000 and median home price of $445,000. The median mortgage rate for these buyers was 4.4%.

  • Other top cities include Nashville, Denver, and Charlotte, all seeing at least 5% millennial home purchases. In contrast, San Francisco saw less than 1% due to high home prices.

  • Atlanta had the highest number of millennial home purchases at 83,000 in 2022, despite being 15th in percentage terms. Median income for new homeowners in top metros was $109,000, significantly higher than the national median of $74,580.

One Chart

The Salary Needed To Afford a Home Has More Than Doubled Since Before the Pandemic

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Pro Member Only Content Below

America’s 10 Best (and Worst) Cities for First-Time Homebuyers: Prepare To Be Surprised

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The Incredible Shrinking U.S. Home—Including One Standard Feature That Is Fading Fast

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America’s Top 10 Most Affordable Beach Towns for Retirees

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These are America’s 10 best states for buying and selling a home in 2024, with a big caveat at No. 1

(This content is restricted to Pro Members only. Upgrade)

Who is getting funded in Proptech?

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Off Topic

Ranked: The Most Reliable Car Brands in the U.S.

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Unreal Real Estate

A Private Retreat for $1.6M

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Cheers,

Vidit

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